Weather Blog

Weather Blog

Date: 8/28/2017

Title: What’s Next With Harvey?

Hurricane Harvey has brought devastating winds and floods to southeast Texas since last Friday and Harvey is in no hurry to leave. That graphic below shows rainfall since Friday. The large white area shows locations that have received more than 20 inches of rainfall with more on the way.

With steering winds aloft being very weak, Harvey is likely going to linger over southeast Texas and Louisiana over the next three days. There is also the possibility that Harvey may intensify briefly before moving off the northeast by later this week. Rainfall amounts may exceed 40 inches to near 50 inches in some areas before it moves away.

The graphic below shows the potential future track of Harvey in the coming days. Most model solutions move Harvey to the northeast by the end of the week. Beef producers along the predicted path should be ready for heavy rains and severe weather.

While 30 to 50 inch rainfall totals seem hard to believe, they have happened in the Gulf region before, however, it is has been a long time since we have seen this type of magnitude with rainfall totals.

Amelia brought as much as 48 inches of rainfall to Texas in 1978.

The chances of Harvey overtaking Amelia has the biggest rain producer on record is a distinct possibility.

The tropics are boiling with activity this week and in the coming weeks with Irma near the Mid-Atlantic and another system poised to be near Florida in the next 10 to 14 days.

 



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